METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Catch Weight
VS
46%
Reese
54%
McVey
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:38
★ Official Result
Zach ReesewinsSubmissionR2 · 1:38
def. Jackson McVey · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McVey
→
Actual result
Reese wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Reese at 46% vs McVey at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McVey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Reese's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReeseMcVey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reese
McVey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
32
Age
+27
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Reese
McVey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
61.6
43.9
Performance Avg
54.2
40
Quality of Victory
57
88
Momentum Score
65
Reese
McVey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.0
Style: Volume
1.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Reese
McVey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reese
McVey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/13 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Reese
McVey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Reese
McVey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reese
McVey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
ReeseMcVey
Strike Zones
Reese
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMcVey
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reese targets the legs (100% of attacks) — McVey absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯McVey targets the head (67% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reese
RND
McVey
0/0R00/0
Reese · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ryan GandraKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVeySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Upcoming
Sedriques DumasNoche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko TodorovicDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
McVey · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Wes SchultzKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Sedriques DumasSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Zach ReeseSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Brunno FerreiraSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07