UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Catch Weight
VS
50%
Reese
50%
McVey
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:38
Zach
Zach Reese
"Savage"
10 – 3
6'4"77" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Jackson
Jackson McVey
"The Moose"
7 – 2
Submission Hunter27 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'4"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Reese

This is a genuine toss-up — Reese at 50% vs McVey at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

McVey has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

McVey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reese's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reese
McVey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
32
Age
+27
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Reese
McVey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.0
54.0
46.8
Performance Avg
45.7
40
Quality of Victory
54
88
Momentum Score
52
Reese
McVey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Reese
McVey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reese
McVey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Reese
McVey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
52
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
Reese
McVey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reese
McVey
Striking3.6 / 0.7Volume5.1 / 0.7Grappling3.2 / 8.0Wrestling2.2 / 5.6Submission2.5 / 10.0Pressure5.2 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Reese
Strike Zones
McVey
Reese
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
McVey
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reese targets the legs (100% of attacks) — McVey absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯McVey targets the head (67% of attacks) — Reese absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reese
RND
McVey
0/0R00/0

Reese · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.0L5.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W6.2W6.1L2023-122024-082025-052026-02
WinLossTrend

McVey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0103.1L3.8L5.0W2025-072025-112026-04
WinLossTrend

Reese · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R2
Jackson McVeyRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
Upcoming
Sedriques Dumas
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Dusko TodorovicRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Azamat BekoevRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

McVey · Last 3

W · Sub · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Zach ReeseRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

News & Media

Zach Reese · Jackson McVey
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