★ Championship Bout · Interim Featherweight
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Interim Featherweight
VS
64%
Aldo
36%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jose
Jose Aldo
32 – 10
5'7"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
23 – 11
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aldo

Aldo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aldo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Striking split: Edgar throws more volume but Aldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Aldo
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
25.4
53.6
Performance Avg
48.0
49
Quality of Victory
39
40
Momentum Score
68
Aldo
Edgar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
0
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldo
Edgar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldo
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Aldo
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Aldo
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aldo
Edgar
Striking4.1 / 3.5Volume6.9 / 6.1Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.6Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure3.8 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Aldo
Strike Zones
Edgar
Aldo
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Edgar
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (89% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (70% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aldo
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0

Aldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.9W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W3.8L3.8L5.5W6.0W7.0L5.5L5.5L5.3W5.0W5.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L6.6L2011-042014-102019-022021-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Aldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

News & Media

Jose Aldo · Frankie Edgar
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