METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Interim Featherweight
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Interim Featherweight
VS
64%
Aldo
36%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jose AldowinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Frankie Edgar · UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Aldo
→
Actual result
Aldo wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Aldo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Aldo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Edgar throws more volume but Aldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AldoEdgar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Aldo
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
39+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aldo
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
25.4
53.6
Performance Avg
48.0
49
Quality of Victory
39
40
Momentum Score
68
Aldo
Edgar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
7
0
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Aldo
Edgar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Aldo
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Aldo
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Aldo
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Edgar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
AldoEdgar
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedEdgar
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (89% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (70% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0
Aldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12