UFC 56: Full Force
Las Vegas, USA
19 Nov 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
86%
Hoger
14%
Newton
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:05
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hoger
Hoger is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hoger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Hoger has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Hoger
Newton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
45+
Age
59
Orthodox
Stance
Sideways
Hoger
Newton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
2.5
38.3
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Hoger
Newton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.1
22%
Strike Accuracy
20%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
10Ground0
Hoger
Newton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hoger
Newton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/6 fights
Hoger
Newton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Hoger
Newton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hoger
Newton
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HogerNewton
Strike Zones
Hoger
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedNewton
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hoger targets the head (100% of attacks) — Newton absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Newton targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hoger absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hoger
RND
Newton
0/0R00/0
Hoger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hoger · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeff NewtonRating 5.2Submission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
Bobby SouthworthRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04
Newton · Last 1
L · Sub · R2
Sam HogerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11