UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Las Vegas, USA
20 Nov 2021
Flyweight
VS
43%
Durden
57%
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
This is a genuine toss-up — Durden at 43% vs at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Durden's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Durden
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+69"
35
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Durden
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.8
50.1
38.8
Performance Avg
45.5
34
Quality of Victory
43
54
Momentum Score
58
Durden
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
0
Body
5
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance20
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Durden
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Durden
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/38 fights
Durden
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
58
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Durden
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Durden
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Durden
Strike Zones
Durden
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedAttacking
20 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Durden targets the head (100% of attacks) — absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (55% of attacks) — Durden absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Durden
RND
0/0R00/0
Durden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Durden · Last 5
Upcoming
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Upcoming
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