UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
30%
Madge
70%
Ziam
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DM
Don Madge
"Magic Man"
9 – 3
6'0"72" reachSouthpaw35 yrs2-fight win streakVolume Striker
CFR 25
Fares
Fares Ziam
"The Smile Killer"
18 – 4
Well-Rounded6-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ziam

Ziam is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Ziam throws more volume but Madge connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Madge
Ziam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Madge
Ziam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
58.1
64.0
Performance Avg
51.1
40
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
91
Madge
Ziam
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.7
63%
Strike Accuracy
55%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch0
8Ground0
Madge
Ziam
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Madge
Ziam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
11/22 fights
Madge
Ziam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Madge
Ziam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Madge
Ziam
Striking7.0 / 4.1Volume6.0 / 7.6Grappling1.2 / 1.8Wrestling0.8 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
Madge
Strike Zones
Ziam
Madge
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Ziam
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Madge targets the head (56% of attacks) — Ziam absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Madge
RND
Ziam
0/0R00/0

Madge · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.7W2018-102019-09
WinLossTrend

Ziam · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L4.7W4.5W3.0L4.5W5.2W5.4W5.7W5.6W6.7W2019-092022-022024-022025-12
WinLossTrend

Madge · Last 2

W · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Te EdwardsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

Ziam · Last 5

Upcoming
Tom Nolan
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike DavisRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Matt FrevolaRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Don Madge · Fares Ziam
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