METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
32%
Madge
68%
Ziam
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Don MadgewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fares Ziam · UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ziam
→
Actual result
Madge wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ziam holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Madge has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ziam has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MadgeZiam
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Madge
Ziam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Madge
Ziam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
53.3
64.0
Performance Avg
45.8
40
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
91
Madge
Ziam
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
3.8
6.0
Style: Volume
7.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch0
8Ground0
Madge
Ziam
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Madge
Ziam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Madge
Ziam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Madge
Ziam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Madge
Ziam
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
MadgeZiam
Strike Zones
Madge
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedZiam
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Madge targets the head (56% of attacks) — Ziam absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Madge
RND
Ziam
0/0R00/0
Madge · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamDecision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · KO · R2
Te EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Ziam · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Axel SolaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike DavisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Matt FrevolaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09