METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
26 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
29%
Petrosyan
71%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Armen PetrosyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gregory Rodrigues · UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodrigues
→
Actual result
Petrosyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rodrigues is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Petrosyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetrosyanRodrigues
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
71"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.3
65.6
32.1
Performance Avg
58.7
25
Quality of Victory
46
30
Momentum Score
100
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
6.8
8.9
Style: Volume
4.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
15
21
Body
3
13
Leg
1
RangeRange
51Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
PetrosyanRodrigues
Strike Zones
Petrosyan
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrosyan targets the body (41% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (79% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrosyan
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraSubmission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Rodrigues · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Anthony HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

