UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
26 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
31%
Petrosyan
69%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodrigues
Rodrigues holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Petrosyan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Petrosyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petrosyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
71"
Reach
+75"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.3
66.6
32.1
Performance Avg
59.3
25
Quality of Victory
48
30
Momentum Score
100
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
15
21
Body
3
13
Leg
1
RangeRange
51Distance19
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
13/25 fights
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
70%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrosyan
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
PetrosyanRodrigues
Strike Zones
Petrosyan
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrosyan targets the body (41% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 41% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (79% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrosyan
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Petrosyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Rodrigues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraRating 4.3Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
Rodrigues · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07