METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Lightweight
VS
9%
Arzamendia
91%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:42
★ Official Result
Marco Polo ReyeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:42
def. Cesar Arzamendia · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reyes
→
Actual result
Reyes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Reyes is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reyes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Risk flags
Arzamendia's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArzamendiaReyes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arzamendia
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
Reach
71"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arzamendia
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
16.8
0.0
Performance Avg
49.2
0
Quality of Victory
49
0
Momentum Score
50
Arzamendia
Reyes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.5
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
6.8
0.0
Style: Volume
3.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
7
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
6Clinch2
0Ground2
Arzamendia
Reyes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arzamendia
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/11 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Arzamendia
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Arzamendia
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arzamendia
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
ArzamendiaReyes
Strike Zones
Arzamendia
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedReyes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arzamendia targets the head (44% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (90% of attacks) — Arzamendia absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arzamendia
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arzamendia · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Damien BrownKO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Marco Polo ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Reyes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Damir HadzovicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
James VickKO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05