METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Lightweight
VS
9%
Arzamendia
91%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:42
★ Official Result
Marco Polo ReyeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:42
def. Cesar Arzamendia · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Reyes
→
Actual result
Reyes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Reyes is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reyes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Arzamendia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arzamendia's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArzamendiaReyes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arzamendia
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
Reach
71"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arzamendia
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.6
16.8
0.0
Performance Avg
49.2
0
Quality of Victory
49
0
Momentum Score
50
Arzamendia
Reyes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
1.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
7
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance6
6Clinch2
0Ground2
Arzamendia
Reyes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arzamendia
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
12
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/11 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Arzamendia
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Arzamendia
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arzamendia
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
ArzamendiaReyes
Strike Zones
Arzamendia
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedReyes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arzamendia targets the head (44% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (90% of attacks) — Arzamendia absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arzamendia
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arzamendia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Arzamendia · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Damien BrownRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Marco Polo ReyesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
Reyes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Damir HadzovicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
James VickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05