UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Featherweight
VS
56%
Dawodu
44%
Trizano
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dawodu
This is a genuine toss-up — Dawodu at 56% vs Trizano at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Dawodu throws more volume but Trizano connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Trizano has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dawodu
Trizano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
73"+
Reach
71"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dawodu
Trizano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.1
28.9
41.5
Performance Avg
54.4
29
Quality of Victory
53
80
Momentum Score
53
Dawodu
Trizano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
15
21
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
35Distance12
11Clinch10
0Ground0
Dawodu
Trizano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dawodu
Trizano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Dawodu
Trizano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Dawodu
Trizano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawodu
Trizano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
DawoduTrizano
Strike Zones
Dawodu
Attacking
46 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTrizano
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
46 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dawodu targets the head (52% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Trizano targets the head (68% of attacks) — Dawodu absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawodu
RND
Trizano
0/0R00/0
Dawodu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Trizano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Dawodu · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Michael TrizanoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Trizano · Last 5
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05