UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
Las Vegas, USA
3 Mar 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Johnson
46%
Milstead
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JJ
Jordan Johnson
10 – 0
6'2"79" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 23
AM
Adam Milstead
"The Prototype"
8 – 4
Knockout Artist2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 54% vs Milstead at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Milstead has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Milstead has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Johnson
Milstead
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Milstead
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
19.1
58.7
Performance Avg
46.3
31
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
52
Johnson
Milstead
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
23
1
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
20Distance18
2Clinch8
0Ground1
Johnson
Milstead
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Milstead
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Johnson
Milstead
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Johnson
Milstead
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Milstead
Striking2.0 / 10.0Volume8.0 / 0.7Grappling3.8 / 0.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Johnson
Strike Zones
Milstead
Johnson
Attacking
20HEAD1BODY1LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD3BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Milstead
Attacking
23HEAD3BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD1BODY1LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (91% of attacks) — Milstead absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Milstead targets the head (85% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Milstead
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W2017-012017-072018-032018-09
WinLossTrend

Milstead · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W5.5L1.5L2016-052018-032018-12
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 4

W · Sub · R2
Adam YandievRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Adam MilsteadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
W · Dec · R3
Marcel FortunaRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Henrique da SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01

Milstead · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Mike RodriguezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
Upcoming
Curtis Blaydes
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
W · KO · R2
Chris de la RochaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

News & Media

Jordan Johnson · Adam Milstead
← Back to fights