UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Dec 2023
Flyweight
VS
69%
Taira
31%
Hernandez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Taira
Taira holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Hernandez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Taira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Hernandez throws more volume but Taira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hernandez has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Taira
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
67"
26+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taira
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.7
31.3
61.0
Performance Avg
32.1
48
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
35
Taira
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.5
61%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
1
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Taira
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taira
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Taira
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Taira
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Taira
Hernandez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
TairaHernandez
Strike Zones
Taira
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHernandez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Taira targets the head (86% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Taira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Taira
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Taira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Hernandez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Taira · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Joshua VanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R2
HyunSung ParkRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alex PerezRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
Hernandez · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
HyunSung ParkRating 3.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 5.7Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Denys BondarRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06