UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
47%
Sato
53%
Gorimbo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TS
Takashi Sato
"Ten"
16 – 7
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw35 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 38
Themba
Themba Gorimbo
"Mamba"
14 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gorimbo

This is a genuine toss-up — Sato at 47% vs Gorimbo at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sato has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Striking split: Sato throws more volume but Gorimbo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sato's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sato
Gorimbo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sato
Gorimbo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.3
43.6
45.9
Performance Avg
40.2
58
Quality of Victory
34
46
Momentum Score
53
Sato
Gorimbo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
60%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
3
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance6
1Clinch1
8Ground1
Sato
Gorimbo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sato
Gorimbo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
72
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/23 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Sato
Gorimbo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
53
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Sato
Gorimbo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sato
Gorimbo
Striking10.0 / 3.5Volume0.6 / 7.0Grappling0.0 / 1.8Wrestling0.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.9 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Sato
Strike Zones
Gorimbo
Sato
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Gorimbo
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sato targets the head (77% of attacks) — Gorimbo absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Gorimbo targets the head (63% of attacks) — Sato absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sato
RND
Gorimbo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sato · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.1L5.0W3.3L6.6L3.3L5.9L2019-042020-062022-032023-05
WinLossTrend

Gorimbo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0102.8L4.7W5.7W6.0W5.2W3.0L6.9L7.1L2023-022024-022024-102025-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Sato · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Bryan BattleRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · Sub · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R1
Jason WittRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06

Gorimbo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MicallefRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Niko PriceRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Ramiz BrahimajRating 6
Decision
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News & Media

Takashi Sato · Themba Gorimbo
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