UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2
Fortaleza, Brazil
2 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
74%
Oliveira
26%
Teymur
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:55

CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Teymur throws more volume but Oliveira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Oliveira's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira
Teymur
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
73"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Oliveira
Teymur
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
21.7
58.6
Performance Avg
55.5
51
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
89
Oliveira
Teymur
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance4
7Clinch0
0Ground0
Oliveira
Teymur
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
4.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oliveira
Teymur
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/48 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Oliveira
Teymur
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
89
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Oliveira
Teymur
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
84%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
17
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oliveira
Teymur
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
4.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
6.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
OliveiraTeymur
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTeymur
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oliveira targets the head (85% of attacks) — Teymur absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Teymur targets the head (50% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oliveira
RND
Teymur
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Teymur · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Teymur · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 5.5Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
W · KO · R2
Jason NovelliRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08