METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
26%
Woodley
74%
Usman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Tyron Woodley · UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Usman is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WoodleyUsman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Woodley
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Woodley
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
56.3
58.9
Performance Avg
59.6
58
Quality of Victory
46
40
Momentum Score
55
Woodley
Usman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
4.6
3.9
Style: Volume
7.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
5
0
Body
10
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground14
Woodley
Usman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodley
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Woodley
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
55
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
Woodley
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
31%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodley
Usman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
WoodleyUsman
Strike Zones
Woodley
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedUsman
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the head (100% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the body (67% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodley
RND
Usman
0/0R00/0
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillSubmission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Usman · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08