UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux
Bangor, USA
16 Aug 2014
Middleweight
VS
32%
Boetsch
68%
Tavares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tavares
Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Boetsch has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Boetsch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Boetsch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Boetsch's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Boetsch
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
45
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Boetsch
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.6
35.6
46.0
Performance Avg
40.1
43
Quality of Victory
29
69
Momentum Score
49
Boetsch
Tavares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance6
1Clinch2
2Ground0
Boetsch
Tavares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Boetsch
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/34 fights
Chin rating based on
29/34 fights
Boetsch
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Boetsch
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
13%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Boetsch
Tavares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
BoetschTavares
Strike Zones
Boetsch
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTavares
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Boetsch targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (75% of attacks) — Boetsch absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Boetsch
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Boetsch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Boetsch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Johny HendricksRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael NatalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10