UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Smith
42%
Teixeira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 1:04
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Smith
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 58% vs Teixeira at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Smith throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Teixeira has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smith
Teixeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
76"
37+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Teixeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
42.8
50.7
Performance Avg
58.4
50
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
59
Smith
Teixeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
19
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Smith
Teixeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Teixeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/60 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Smith
Teixeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Smith
Teixeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
77%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Teixeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
SmithTeixeira
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTeixeira
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Teixeira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Zhang MingyangRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Dominick ReyesRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 6.1Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
