METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Araujo
55%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Viviane AraujowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Karine Silva · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Silva
→
Actual result
Araujo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Araujo at 45% vs Silva at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AraujoSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Araujo
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
68"+
Reach
67"
39
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Araujo
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
59.1
38.7
Performance Avg
50.4
29
Quality of Victory
42
84
Momentum Score
77
Araujo
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
6.1
7.9
Style: Volume
4.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
2
Body
7
5
Leg
10
RangeRange
16Distance17
0Clinch8
1Ground0
Araujo
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Araujo
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Araujo
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
77
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Araujo
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Araujo
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
AraujoSilva
Strike Zones
Araujo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedSilva
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Araujo targets the head (59% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Araujo
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Araujo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasDecision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04