UFC 90: Silva vs Cote
Rosemont, USA
25 Oct 2008
Lightweight
VS
48%
Franca
52%
Aurelio
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
HF
Hermes Franca
24 – 17
5'6"71" reachOrthodox51 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
MA
Marcus Aurelio
"Maximus"
22 – 10
Pressure Fighter3-fight slide52 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aurelio

This is a genuine toss-up — Franca at 48% vs Aurelio at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Aurelio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Aurelio throws more volume but Franca connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Franca
Aurelio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
51+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Franca
Aurelio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
18.4
46.8
Performance Avg
47.5
42
Quality of Victory
57
43
Momentum Score
33
Franca
Aurelio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
6
0
Body
0
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Franca
Aurelio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Franca
Aurelio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/41 fights
Chin rating based on
6/32 fights
Franca
Aurelio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
33
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Franca
Aurelio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Franca
Aurelio
Striking4.4 / 5.7Volume3.8 / 0.7Grappling3.5 / 4.0Wrestling2.4 / 2.8Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure6.3 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Franca
Strike Zones
Aurelio
Franca
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY8LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Aurelio
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY8LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Franca targets the head (58% of attacks) — Aurelio absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Aurelio targets the head (100% of attacks) — Franca absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Franca
RND
Aurelio
0/0R00/0

Franca · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W2.8L2003-042004-042007-012008-102009-09
WinLossTrend

Aurelio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2007-082007-112008-042008-072008-102009-08
WinLossTrend

Franca · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tyson GriffinRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Marcus AurelioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean SherkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01

Aurelio · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Hermes FrancaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Tyson GriffinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R1
Ryan RobertsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Luke CaudilloRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11

News & Media

Hermes Franca · Marcus Aurelio
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