★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Brooklyn, USA
19 Jan 2019
Flyweight
VS
64%
Cejudo
36%
Dillashaw
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:32
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cejudo
Cejudo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Dillashaw has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Dillashaw throws more volume but Cejudo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cejudo's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dillashaw has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
64"
Reach
+67"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.7
36.6
57.5
Performance Avg
62.3
54
Quality of Victory
56
97
Momentum Score
100
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
15Ground0
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
62%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cejudo
Dillashaw
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
CejudoDillashaw
Strike Zones
Cejudo
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDillashaw
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cejudo targets the head (94% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Dillashaw targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Cejudo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cejudo
RND
Dillashaw
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cejudo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dillashaw · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cejudo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · KO · R2
Dominick CruzRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
