UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Welterweight
VS
60%
Graves
40%
Velickovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Graves
Graves holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Velickovic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Velickovic throws more volume but Graves connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Graves
Velickovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+76"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Graves
Velickovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.3
16.5
62.3
Performance Avg
38.5
37
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
56
Graves
Velickovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.8
45%
Strike Accuracy
31%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Graves
Velickovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Graves
Velickovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/6 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Graves
Velickovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Graves
Velickovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Graves
Velickovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
GravesVelickovic
Strike Zones
Graves
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedVelickovic
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velickovic targets the body (50% of attacks) — Graves absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Graves
RND
Velickovic
0/0R00/0
Graves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Velickovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Graves · Last 3
Upcoming
Bojan VelickovicDecision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Randy BrownRating 6.1Submission
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
Velickovic · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Michael GravesDecision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07