UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Chicago, USA
26 Jan 2013
Welterweight
VS
15%
Stumpf
85%
Krauss
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Krauss
Krauss is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krauss has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Krauss has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Stumpf
Krauss
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
39
Age
39
—
Stance
Orthodox
Stumpf
Krauss
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
13.6
0.0
Performance Avg
35.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
56
Stumpf
Krauss
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
48
6
Body
4
5
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance42
2Clinch14
0Ground3
Stumpf
Krauss
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stumpf
Krauss
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Stumpf
Krauss
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stumpf
Krauss
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stumpf
Krauss
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
StumpfKrauss
Strike Zones
Stumpf
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedKrauss
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stumpf targets the head (42% of attacks) — Krauss absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Krauss targets the head (81% of attacks) — Stumpf absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stumpf
RND
Krauss
0/0R00/0
Stumpf · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Krauss · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Stumpf · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Pascal KraussRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Sub · R1
TJ WaldburgerRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
Krauss · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Hyun Gyu LimRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Mike StumpfRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Dec · R3
Mark ScanlonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11