★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
46%
Maddalena
54%
Makhachev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
JD
Jack Della Maddalena
18 – 4
5'11"73" reachSwitch29 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 64
Islam
Islam Makhachev
28 – 1
Well-Rounded16-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"
CFR 75

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Makhachev

This is a genuine toss-up — Maddalena at 46% vs Makhachev at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Maddalena throws more volume but Makhachev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Maddalena
Makhachev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
29+
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Maddalena
Makhachev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
74.5
59.9
Performance Avg
69.8
46
Quality of Victory
53
80
Momentum Score
100
Maddalena
Makhachev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Maddalena
Makhachev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.7
1
Submission wins
8
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maddalena
Makhachev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
16 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
18/29 fights
Maddalena
Makhachev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
16-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
Maddalena
Makhachev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
65%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
8
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maddalena
Makhachev
Striking6.6 / 3.6Volume4.6 / 4.7Grappling1.9 / 4.6Wrestling1.3 / 3.2Submission1.3 / 4.7Pressure6.8 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Maddalena
Strike Zones
Makhachev
Maddalena
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Makhachev
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maddalena targets the head (100% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maddalena
RND
Makhachev
0/0R00/0

Maddalena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.7W5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W5.1W5.7W5.6W7.5L5.0L2022-012023-022024-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Makhachev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W6.1W4.5W6.7W5.6W5.9W5.7W6.5W6.0W6.5W6.8W5.8W6.0W2015-052018-072021-102024-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Maddalena · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6
Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

News & Media

Jack Della Maddalena · Islam Makhachev
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