Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Welterweight

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev

New York City, USA

15 Nov 2025

Welterweight

46%

Maddalena

54%

Makhachev

Win Probability

Decision

Round 5 · 5:00

Jack Della Maddalena

18 – 4

5'11"73" reachSwitch29 yrs2-fight slideStriker

CFR 64

Islam Makhachev

28 – 1

Well-Rounded16-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'10"

CFR 75

★ Official Result

Islam MakhachevwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00

def. Jack Della Maddalena · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Makhachev

→

Actual result

Makhachev wins

Decision · R5

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Maddalena at 46% vs Makhachev at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Maddalena throws more volume but Makhachev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MaddalenaMakhachev

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Maddalena

Makhachev

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"+

Height

5'10"

73"+

Reach

70"

29+

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

Maddalena

Makhachev

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

64.0

74.5

59.9

Performance Avg

69.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Maddalena

Makhachev

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.3

0.9

56%

Strike Accuracy

60%

6.6

Striking Style Score (/10)

3.6

4 KOs

KO Finishes

3 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance0

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Maddalena

Makhachev

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.9

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

1.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.2

1.3

Submission Style (/10)

4.7

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Maddalena

Makhachev

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R3.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

16 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

10/22 fights

Chin rating based on

18/29 fights

Maddalena

Makhachev

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

16-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R1

W · Sub · R5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R5

Maddalena

Makhachev

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

63%

65%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maddalena

Makhachev

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

6.6

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.6

1.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.6

1.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.2

1.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.7

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.4

4.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.7

Maddalena

Strike Zones

Makhachev

Maddalena

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Makhachev

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Maddalena targets the head (100% of attacks) — Makhachev absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maddalena

RND

Makhachev

0/0R00/0

Maddalena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5

WinLossTrend

Makhachev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4

WinLossTrend

Maddalena · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Carlos PratesRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05

L · Dec · R5

Islam MakhachevRating 7.5

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · Dec · R5

Belal MuhammadRating 5.6

Decision

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

W · KO · R3

Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7

KO/TKO

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

W · Dec · R3

Kevin HollandRating 5.1

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

Makhachev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Jack Della MaddalenaRating 6

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · Sub · R1

Renato MoicanoRating 5.8

Submission

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Sub · R5

Dustin PoirierRating 6.8

Submission

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

W · KO · R1

Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.5

KO/TKO

UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

W · Dec · R5

Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6

Decision

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

News & Media

Jack Della Maddalena · Islam Makhachev

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