UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Lightweight
VS
19%
Wiman
81%
Leavitt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:22
MW
Matt Wiman
16 – 10
5'10"68" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Jordan
Jordan Leavitt
"The Monkey King"
13 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Leavitt

Leavitt is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wiman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Wiman's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wiman
Leavitt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
68"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wiman
Leavitt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
64.8
46.3
Performance Avg
54.0
40
Quality of Victory
46
54
Momentum Score
100
Wiman
Leavitt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Wiman
Leavitt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wiman
Leavitt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
74
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
10/16 fights
Wiman
Leavitt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Wiman
Leavitt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wiman
Leavitt
Striking3.1 / 4.7Volume5.1 / 4.0Grappling3.6 / 3.5Wrestling2.5 / 2.4Submission3.0 / 3.3Pressure5.2 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
Wiman
Strike Zones
Leavitt
Wiman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Leavitt
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Leavitt targets the body (100% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wiman
RND
Leavitt
0/0R00/0

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L3.0L2006-052008-122011-072019-062020-12
WinLossTrend

Leavitt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W6.4L5.2W4.6W4.5L5.0W2.3L5.0W6.3W2020-122022-042023-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

Leavitt · Last 5

Upcoming
Joanderson Brito
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Yadier del ValleRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R1
Kurt HolobaughRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · KO · R1
Victor MartinezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

News & Media

Matt Wiman · Jordan Leavitt
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