UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Vancouver, Canada
18 Oct 2025
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Vera
53%
Zahabi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
5'8"70" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Aiemann
Aiemann Zahabi
14 – 2
Well-Rounded7-fight win streak38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Zahabi

This is a genuine toss-up — Vera at 47% vs Zahabi at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Vera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Zahabi throws more volume but Vera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Vera
Zahabi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Vera
Zahabi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.4
57.6
50.4
Performance Avg
52.2
46
Quality of Victory
34
39
Momentum Score
89
Vera
Zahabi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
20
6
Body
9
4
Leg
8
RangeRange
23Distance37
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Vera
Zahabi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vera
Zahabi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/35 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Vera
Zahabi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
89
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Vera
Zahabi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vera
Zahabi
Striking5.8 / 4.1Volume3.3 / 7.6Grappling2.8 / 1.8Wrestling1.9 / 1.3Submission2.7 / 0.0Pressure6.9 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
Vera
Strike Zones
Zahabi
Vera
Attacking
14HEAD6BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY8LEGS37 absorbed
Zahabi
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY8LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD6BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the head (58% of attacks) — Zahabi absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Zahabi targets the head (54% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vera
RND
Zahabi
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Zahabi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.1L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.8W4.9W5.0W5.0W5.3W2017-022021-022024-032025-10
WinLossTrend

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Zahabi · Last 5

Upcoming
Sean O'Malley
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Marlon Vera · Aiemann Zahabi
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