UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
Las Vegas, USA
10 Jul 2021
Middleweight
VS
35%
Giles
65%
Plessis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Plessis
Plessis holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Giles has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Plessis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Plessis throws more volume but Giles connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Giles's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Giles
Plessis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+76"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Giles
Plessis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.6
73.5
41.9
Performance Avg
65.6
36
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
100
Giles
Plessis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
2
Body
3
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground3
Giles
Plessis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Giles
Plessis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
10/26 fights
Giles
Plessis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Giles
Plessis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Giles
Plessis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
GilesPlessis
Strike Zones
Giles
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedPlessis
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Giles targets the head (50% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Plessis targets the head (45% of attacks) — Giles absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Giles
RND
Plessis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Giles · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Plessis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Giles · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.2Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Louis CosceRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
Plessis · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07