UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
Manchester, United Kingdom
8 Oct 2016
Welterweight
VS
66%
Roberts
34%
Perry
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Roberts
Roberts holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Perry has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perry has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Roberts
Perry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
71"
38
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Perry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.8
16.4
45.6
Performance Avg
44.4
43
Quality of Victory
43
45
Momentum Score
50
Roberts
Perry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
32
0
Body
1
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
25Distance25
1Clinch6
0Ground3
Roberts
Perry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Roberts
Perry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/26 fights
Chin rating based on
15/22 fights
Roberts
Perry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Roberts
Perry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
57%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Perry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
RobertsPerry
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedPerry
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (77% of attacks) — Perry absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Perry targets the head (94% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Perry
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Perry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Roberts · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
Perry · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6Decision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Mickey GallRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08