METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Flyweight
VS
59%
Kape
41%
Osbourne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:44
★ Official Result
Manel KapewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:44
def. Ode Osbourne · UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kape
→
Actual result
Kape wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kape at 59% vs Osbourne at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Osbourne has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KapeOsbourne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kape
Osbourne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+73"
32+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Kape
Osbourne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.8
51.3
65.8
Performance Avg
43.7
61
Quality of Victory
45
89
Momentum Score
87
Kape
Osbourne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.9
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
5.5
3.5
Style: Volume
4.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
9
2
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
16Distance18
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Kape
Osbourne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kape
Osbourne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
16
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/29 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Kape
Osbourne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
87
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Kape
Osbourne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kape
Osbourne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
KapeOsbourne
Strike Zones
Kape
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedOsbourne
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kape targets the head (74% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Osbourne targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kape
RND
Osbourne
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kape · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Osbourne · Last 5
Upcoming
Alibi IdirisUFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Luis GuruleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Jafel FilhoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03