METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Women's Featherweight
VS
43%
Pennington
57%
Chiasson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:07
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:07
def. Macy Chiasson · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiasson
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 43% vs Chiasson at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chiasson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chiasson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonChiasson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Chiasson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+72"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Chiasson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
61.5
46.8
Performance Avg
53.0
32
Quality of Victory
50
80
Momentum Score
96
Pennington
Chiasson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.7
Style: Pressure
5.2
7.5
Style: Volume
4.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
9
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance9
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Pennington
Chiasson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
2.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Chiasson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Pennington
Chiasson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
96
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Pennington
Chiasson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Chiasson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
PenningtonChiasson
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedChiasson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (57% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Chiasson targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Chiasson
0/0R00/0
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L · Dec · R3
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