METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Las Vegas, USA
18 Dec 2021
Women's Featherweight
VS
43%
Pennington
57%
Chiasson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:07
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:07
def. Macy Chiasson · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiasson
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pennington at 43% vs Chiasson at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chiasson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chiasson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonChiasson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Chiasson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
67"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Chiasson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
61.5
46.8
Performance Avg
53.0
32
Quality of Victory
50
80
Momentum Score
96
Pennington
Chiasson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
9
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance9
4Clinch2
0Ground0
Pennington
Chiasson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Chiasson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Pennington
Chiasson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
96
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Pennington
Chiasson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Chiasson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
PenningtonChiasson
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedChiasson
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (57% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Chiasson targets the head (45% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Chiasson
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Chiasson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
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W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Chiasson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · R2
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 4.9UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Pannie KianzadRating 5Submission
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