UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fairfax, USA
4 Apr 2015
Lightweight
VS
46%
Maynard
54%
Yakovlev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AY
CFR 15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yakovlev
This is a genuine toss-up — Maynard at 46% vs Yakovlev at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Yakovlev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Yakovlev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maynard's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yakovlev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Maynard
Yakovlev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+74"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Maynard
Yakovlev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
15.4
41.4
Performance Avg
40.2
28
Quality of Victory
45
60
Momentum Score
36
Maynard
Yakovlev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance8
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Maynard
Yakovlev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maynard
Yakovlev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
68
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/34 fights
Maynard
Yakovlev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Maynard
Yakovlev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maynard
Yakovlev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
MaynardYakovlev
Strike Zones
Maynard
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedYakovlev
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maynard targets the head (83% of attacks) — Yakovlev absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Yakovlev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maynard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maynard
RND
Yakovlev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Maynard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Yakovlev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Maynard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Nik LentzRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Yakovlev · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Joel AlvarezRating 2.8Submission
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