UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Welterweight
VS
56%
Williams
44%
Harris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:30
Khaos
Khaos Williams
"The OxFighter"
16 – 5
6'0"77" reachOrthodox32 yrsStriker
CFR 64
Carlston
Carlston Harris
"Mocambique"
19 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Williams

This is a genuine toss-up — Williams at 56% vs Harris at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Williams throws more volume but Harris connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Harris has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Williams
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
76"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.7
50.5
54.6
Performance Avg
50.5
49
Quality of Victory
46
87
Momentum Score
51
Williams
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
2
Body
1
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance14
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Williams
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Williams
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Williams
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Williams
Harris
Striking8.4 / 3.6Volume3.6 / 3.1Grappling0.7 / 4.6Wrestling0.5 / 3.2Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure6.9 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Williams
Strike Zones
Harris
Williams
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Harris
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY5LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (42% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the head (71% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Williams
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Williams · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.0W6.5W6.1L5.0W6.1W6.4L4.5W5.8W4.5L5.7L5.4W2020-022021-062023-052025-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Harris · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W3.6L5.0W6.9W2.9L4.5L2021-052022-022023-082025-01
WinLossTrend

Williams · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Andreas GustafssonRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Rolando BedoyaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Harris · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

News & Media

Khaos Williams · Carlston Harris
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