UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
26 Sept 2015
Welterweight
VS
21%
Nakamura
79%
Jingliang
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:17
KN
Keita Nakamura
"K-Taro"
34 – 10
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Li
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
19 – 9
Striker2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox71" reach6'0"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jingliang

Jingliang is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jingliang has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Jingliang has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jingliang has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nakamura
Jingliang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
73"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nakamura
Jingliang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
50.8
36.2
Performance Avg
53.1
36
Quality of Victory
48
26
Momentum Score
69
Nakamura
Jingliang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.0
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Nakamura
Jingliang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nakamura
Jingliang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
46
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/44 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Nakamura
Jingliang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
69
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Nakamura
Jingliang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
73%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nakamura
Jingliang
Striking0.7 / 8.5Volume4.7 / 3.4Grappling5.2 / 0.7Wrestling3.6 / 0.5Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Nakamura
Strike Zones
Jingliang
Nakamura
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Jingliang
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nakamura targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jingliang absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Jingliang targets the head (93% of attacks) — Nakamura absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nakamura
RND
Jingliang
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nakamura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5L5.5L6.3W5.5L5.2W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2006-122015-092016-102018-122019-04
WinLossTrend

Jingliang · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L4.5W5.5W6.0W6.1L5.5W3.4L6.2W6.4L5.0L2014-052017-012018-112022-072024-08
WinLossTrend

Nakamura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Salim TouahriRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10

Jingliang · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01

News & Media

Keita Nakamura · Li Jingliang
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