UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Middleweight
VS
46%
Adesanya
54%
Pyfer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pyfer
This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 46% vs Pyfer at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Pyfer throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Adesanya
Pyfer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
80"+
Reach
75"
36
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Adesanya
Pyfer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
75.7
61.2
Performance Avg
66.6
56
Quality of Victory
53
100
Momentum Score
100
Adesanya
Pyfer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
26
6
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance12
0Clinch1
0Ground14
Adesanya
Pyfer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Pyfer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Adesanya
Pyfer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Pyfer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
86%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Pyfer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
AdesanyaPyfer
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedPyfer
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the head (50% of attacks) — Pyfer absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Pyfer targets the head (96% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Pyfer
0/0R00/0
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Pyfer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Pyfer · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Abus MagomedovRating 6Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

