METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
23 Oct 2021
Middleweight
VS
57%
Pickett
43%
Staropoli
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jamie PickettwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Laureano Staropoli · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pickett
→
Actual result
Pickett wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pickett at 57% vs Staropoli at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Pickett's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PickettStaropoli
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pickett
Staropoli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
71"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pickett
Staropoli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.0
15.1
23.9
Performance Avg
28.3
25
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
10
Pickett
Staropoli
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.7
Style: Pressure
1.0
8.4
Style: Volume
8.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
7
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance8
6Clinch2
0Ground0
Pickett
Staropoli
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pickett
Staropoli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Pickett
Staropoli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
10
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pickett
Staropoli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pickett
Staropoli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
PickettStaropoli
Strike Zones
Pickett
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedStaropoli
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pickett targets the head (63% of attacks) — Staropoli absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Staropoli targets the head (60% of attacks) — Pickett absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pickett
RND
Staropoli
0/0R00/0
Pickett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
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Josh FremdDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Bo NickalSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Denis TiuliulinKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
Staropoli · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie PickettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Roman DolidzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05