UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Middleweight
VS
4%
Gigliotti
96%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Meerschaert
Meerschaert is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Meerschaert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Meerschaert has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
Reach
77"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.4
56.7
0.0
Performance Avg
48.2
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
91
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
34%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
13
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance8
0Clinch3
0Ground3
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/9 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gigliotti
Meerschaert
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
GigliottiMeerschaert
Strike Zones
Gigliotti
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedMeerschaert
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gigliotti targets the head (40% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (93% of attacks) — Gigliotti absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gigliotti
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
Gigliotti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Meerschaert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Gigliotti · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Meerschaert · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11