UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
Las Vegas, USA
15 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
29%
Maximov
71%
Malkoun
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Malkoun
Malkoun is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Malkoun has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Maximov
Malkoun
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
73"
28+
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maximov
Malkoun
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
54.2
35.0
Performance Avg
44.7
25
Quality of Victory
30
56
Momentum Score
98
Maximov
Malkoun
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
61%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch3
0Ground5
Maximov
Malkoun
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maximov
Malkoun
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/10 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Maximov
Malkoun
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
Maximov
Malkoun
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maximov
Malkoun
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.2
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
MaximovMalkoun
Strike Zones
Maximov
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMalkoun
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maximov targets the head (88% of attacks) — Malkoun absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Malkoun targets the head (91% of attacks) — Maximov absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maximov
RND
Malkoun
0/0R00/0
Maximov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Malkoun · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Maximov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R1
Andre PetroskiRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Punahele SorianoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Cody BrundageRating 5Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Malkoun · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Torrez FinneyRating 4.8Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Andre PetroskiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · R1
Cody BrundageRating 4.5UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Nick MaximovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
