UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title
New Orleans, USA
8 Jan 1999
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Rizzo
52%
Coleman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 2 · 3:00
PR
Pedro Rizzo
"The Rock"
20 – 11
6'1"Orthodox52 yrs2-fight win streakStriker
CFR 21
MC
Mark Coleman
"The Hammer"
16 – 10
Pressure Fighter61 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Coleman

This is a genuine toss-up — Rizzo at 48% vs Coleman at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Coleman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Coleman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rizzo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Coleman has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rizzo
Coleman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
Reach
75"
52+
Age
61
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rizzo
Coleman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
22.9
53.4
Performance Avg
60.5
46
Quality of Victory
62
91
Momentum Score
84
Rizzo
Coleman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.5
39%
Strike Accuracy
61%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Rizzo
Coleman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rizzo
Coleman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
12/26 fights
Rizzo
Coleman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
84
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Rizzo
Coleman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
86%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rizzo
Coleman
Striking8.0 / 5.5Volume3.1 / 2.3Grappling0.5 / 3.8Wrestling0.4 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 4.3Pressure6.6 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Rizzo
Strike Zones
Coleman
Rizzo
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Coleman
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rizzo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Coleman absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Coleman targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Rizzo absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rizzo
RND
Coleman
0/0R00/0

Rizzo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W4.2W5.0W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.5L2.8L6.2W1.5L5.5L4.2W4.5W1998-102000-062001-112003-062003-11
WinLossTrend

Coleman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L2.8L4.8L4.0L4.5W2.8L1996-071996-091997-072009-012010-02
WinLossTrend

Rizzo · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ricco RodriguezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · R2
Tra TelligmanRating 4.2
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Gan McGeeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03

Coleman · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

News & Media

Pedro Rizzo · Mark Coleman
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