METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title
New Orleans, USA
8 Jan 1999
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Rizzo
52%
Coleman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 2 · 3:00
★ Official Result
Pedro RizzowinsDecisionR2 · 3:00
def. Mark Coleman · UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Coleman
→
Actual result
Rizzo wins
Decision · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rizzo at 48% vs Coleman at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Coleman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Rizzo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Coleman has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RizzoColeman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rizzo
Coleman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
Reach
75"
52+
Age
61
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rizzo
Coleman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
22.9
53.4
Performance Avg
60.5
46
Quality of Victory
62
91
Momentum Score
84
Rizzo
Coleman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
7.8
3.1
Style: Volume
2.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Rizzo
Coleman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rizzo
Coleman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
12/26 fights
Rizzo
Coleman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
84
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Rizzo
Coleman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
86%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rizzo
Coleman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
RizzoColeman
Strike Zones
Rizzo
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedColeman
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rizzo targets the head (75% of attacks) — Coleman absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Coleman targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Rizzo absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rizzo
RND
Coleman
0/0R00/0
Rizzo · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ricco RodriguezDecision
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
W · R2
Tra TelligmanUFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoDecision
UFC 41: Onslaught · 2003-02
L · KO · R1
Gan McGeeKO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
W · KO · R3
Andrei ArlovskiKO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
Coleman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureSubmission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarDecision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaKO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoDecision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05