UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
San Diego, USA
1 Aug 2010
Welterweight
VS
49%
Johnson
51%
Riddle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Riddle
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 49% vs Riddle at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson
Riddle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Riddle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
18.3
48.7
Performance Avg
45.6
55
Quality of Victory
29
59
Momentum Score
88
Johnson
Riddle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
22
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
3Clinch4
2Ground20
Johnson
Riddle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Riddle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/30 fights
Chin rating based on
12 fights
Johnson
Riddle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
88
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Johnson
Riddle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
14%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Riddle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
JohnsonRiddle
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedRiddle
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Riddle absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Riddle targets the head (92% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Riddle
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Riddle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Mike SwickRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
John MaguireRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · KO · R1
Clay HarvisonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · KO · R2
Amir SadollahRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
Riddle · Last 5
Upcoming
Che MillsUFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
Upcoming
Chris ClementsUFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Henry MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09