UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Featherweight
VS
60%
Arantes
40%
Blanco
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arantes
Arantes holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Blanco has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Striking split: Blanco throws more volume but Arantes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arantes's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arantes
Blanco
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
71"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arantes
Blanco
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
12.0
43.8
Performance Avg
38.0
43
Quality of Victory
34
64
Momentum Score
13
Arantes
Blanco
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
45%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
2
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance8
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Arantes
Blanco
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arantes
Blanco
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
70
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/20 fights
Arantes
Blanco
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
13
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Arantes
Blanco
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arantes
Blanco
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
ArantesBlanco
Strike Zones
Arantes
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBlanco
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arantes targets the head (67% of attacks) — Blanco absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Blanco targets the body (50% of attacks) — Arantes absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arantes
RND
Blanco
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Arantes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Blanco · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Arantes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongRating 4.1KO/TKO
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Blanco · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Chas SkellyRating 1.5Submission
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L · Sub · R1
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Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 5.4Decision
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Andy OgleRating 4.5Decision
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