Miguel Baeza vs Khaos Williams — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez

Las Vegas, USA

13 Nov 2021

Welterweight

42%

Baeza

58%

Williams

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 1:02

Miguel Baeza

"Caramel Thunder"

10 – 4

6'2"74" reachOrthodox34 yrs4-fight slideKnockout Artist

CFR 46

Khaos Williams

"The OxFighter"

16 – 5

Striker32 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'0"

CFR 64

★ Official Result

Khaos WilliamswinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:02

def. Miguel Baeza · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Williams

→

Actual result

Williams wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Baeza at 42% vs Williams at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Baeza's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BaezaWilliams

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Baeza

Williams

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

6'0"

74"

Reach

+77"

Age

+32

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Baeza

Williams

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

46.1

63.7

49.0

Performance Avg

54.6

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Baeza

Williams

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.5

/ 10

8.4

/ 10

8.3

Style: Pressure

6.9

0.9

Style: Volume

3.6

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

5 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance4

0Clinch0

0Ground3

Baeza

Williams

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

/ 10

0.7

/ 10

1.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.5

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Baeza

Williams

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/14 fights

Chin rating based on

12/21 fights

Baeza

Williams

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

Last 5

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · KO · R1

Baeza

Williams

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

71%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baeza

Williams

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

8.4

2.7

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.7

1.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.5

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

8.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.9

0.9

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.6

Baeza

Strike Zones

Williams

Baeza

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

7 absorbed

Williams

Attacking

7 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Baeza targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Williams targets the head (71% of attacks) — Baeza absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Baeza

RND

Williams

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Baeza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Punahele Soriano

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

L · KO · R1

Andre Fialho

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04

L · KO · R3

Khaos Williams

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11

L · Dec · R3

Santiago Ponzinibbio

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

W · Sub · R2

Takashi Sato

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11

Williams · Last 5

Upcoming

Roberto Soldic

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10

W · KO · R1

Nikolay Veretennikov

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Andreas Gustafsson

Decision

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

L · Sub · R2

Gabriel Bonfim

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

W · KO · R1

Carlston Harris

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

Miguel Baeza · Khaos Williams

← Back to fights