UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic
Las Vegas, USA
29 Aug 2020
Welterweight
VS
46%
Lawler
54%
Magny
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
30 – 16
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 41
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

This is a genuine toss-up — Lawler at 46% vs Magny at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Magny throws more volume but Lawler connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lawler
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+80"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
47.5
51.0
Performance Avg
47.4
45
Quality of Victory
36
90
Momentum Score
75
Lawler
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
8 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
23
2
Body
9
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
9Distance26
2Clinch9
0Ground0
Lawler
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Lawler
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
75
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Lawler
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
42%
8
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawler
Magny
Striking6.5 / 4.2Volume4.9 / 6.0Grappling1.1 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure5.5 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Lawler
Strike Zones
Magny
Lawler
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD9BODY3LEGS35 absorbed
Magny
Attacking
23HEAD9BODY3LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (64% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (66% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 66% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lawler
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0

Lawler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Lawler · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Robbie Lawler · Neil Magny
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