UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
Saitama, Japan
2 Mar 2013
Lightweight
VS
50%
Marcello
50%
Tokudome
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CM
Cristiano Marcello
13 – 6
5'9"72" reachOrthodox48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
KT
Kazuki Tokudome
18 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'11"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Marcello

This is a genuine toss-up — Marcello at 50% vs Tokudome at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Marcello has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Marcello
Tokudome
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
48
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marcello
Tokudome
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
9.6
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
28
Momentum Score
22
Marcello
Tokudome
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
31%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
3
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
4Clinch0
0Ground2
Marcello
Tokudome
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marcello
Tokudome
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Marcello
Tokudome
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Marcello
Tokudome
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marcello
Tokudome
Striking0.5 / 0.5Volume8.5 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Marcello
Strike Zones
Tokudome
Marcello
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Tokudome
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marcello targets the head (45% of attacks) — Tokudome absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Tokudome targets the head (56% of attacks) — Marcello absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marcello
RND
Tokudome
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marcello · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L2012-062012-102013-032014-02
WinLossTrend

Tokudome · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W5.5L5.5L2.8L2013-032013-072014-032014-09
WinLossTrend

Marcello · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Joe ProctorRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Kazuki TokudomeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06

Tokudome · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Johnny CaseRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Yui Chul NamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Cristiano MarcelloRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03

News & Media

Cristiano Marcello · Kazuki Tokudome
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