UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
Santiago, Chile
19 May 2018
Lightweight
VS
73%
Puelles
27%
Silva
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:23
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Puelles
Puelles is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Puelles's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Puelles
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
+77"
30+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Puelles
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
19.5
45.5
Performance Avg
49.3
39
Quality of Victory
60
78
Momentum Score
52
Puelles
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.7
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
0
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Puelles
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Puelles
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Puelles
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Puelles
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Puelles
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
PuellesSilva
Strike Zones
Puelles
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedSilva
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Puelles targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (68% of attacks) — Puelles absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Puelles
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Puelles · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Puelles · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Sub · R3
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Silva · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
L · KO · R1
Mairbek TaisumovRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R1
Shane CampbellRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08