UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Tampa, USA
7 Feb 2009
Welterweight
VS
57%
Johnson
43%
Fioravanti
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 57% vs Fioravanti at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fioravanti has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Fioravanti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'8"
78"+
Reach
70"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Fioravanti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
17.5
60.4
Performance Avg
43.3
55
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
76
Johnson
Fioravanti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
11 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
6
2
Body
2
9
Leg
4
RangeRange
12Distance11
4Clinch1
5Ground0
Johnson
Fioravanti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Fioravanti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
40
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/41 fights
Johnson
Fioravanti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Johnson
Fioravanti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
50%
11
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Fioravanti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
JohnsonFioravanti
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedFioravanti
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (48% of attacks) — Fioravanti absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Fioravanti targets the head (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Fioravanti
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Fioravanti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Fioravanti · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
W · Dec · R3
Brodie FarberRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
L · KO · R3
Diego SanchezRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Luke CummoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Forrest PetzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06