METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Middleweight
VS
46%
Marshman
54%
Janes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack MarshmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ryan Janes · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Janes
→
Actual result
Marshman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Marshman at 46% vs Janes at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Janes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Marshman's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarshmanJanes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Marshman
Janes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshman
Janes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
16.8
36.0
Performance Avg
42.5
35
Quality of Victory
38
54
Momentum Score
53
Marshman
Janes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.9
25%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
31
3
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance33
0Clinch7
0Ground0
Marshman
Janes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marshman
Janes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Marshman
Janes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Marshman
Janes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marshman
Janes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MarshmanJanes
Strike Zones
Marshman
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedJanes
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marshman targets the head (79% of attacks) — Janes absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Janes targets the head (78% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marshman
RND
Janes
0/0R00/0
Marshman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Janes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Marshman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
Janes · Last 4
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Keith BerishRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12