METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Glasgow, United Kingdom
16 Jul 2017
Middleweight
VS
46%
Marshman
54%
Janes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack MarshmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ryan Janes · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Janes
→
Actual result
Marshman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Marshman at 46% vs Janes at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Marshman's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarshmanJanes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Marshman
Janes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshman
Janes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
16.8
36.0
Performance Avg
42.5
35
Quality of Victory
38
54
Momentum Score
53
Marshman
Janes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.1
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
31
3
Body
6
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
28Distance33
0Clinch7
0Ground0
Marshman
Janes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marshman
Janes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Marshman
Janes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Marshman
Janes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marshman
Janes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MarshmanJanes
Strike Zones
Marshman
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedJanes
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marshman targets the head (79% of attacks) — Janes absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Janes targets the head (78% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marshman
RND
Janes
0/0R00/0
Marshman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanSubmission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonDecision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
Janes · Last 4
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Jack MarshmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Keith BerishDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12