UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo
Macau, China
23 Nov 2024
Lightweight
VS
46%
54%
Motta
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Maheshate
Maheshate
10 – 5
6'0"71" reachOrthodox26 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Nikolas
Nikolas Motta
"Iron"
15 – 6
Striker33 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Motta

This is a genuine toss-up — at 46% vs Motta at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Motta has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Motta has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Motta
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
26+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Motta
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.1
47.4
38.8
Performance Avg
49.0
43
Quality of Victory
48
26
Momentum Score
41
Motta
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.3
30%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
24
3
Body
2
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance19
1Clinch0
0Ground9
Motta
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Motta
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
34
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Motta
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
41
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Motta
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Motta
Striking5.7 / 7.7Volume4.7 / 3.7Grappling1.2 / 0.8Wrestling0.8 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Strike Zones
Motta
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD2BODY2LEGS28 absorbed
Motta
Attacking
24HEAD2BODY2LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (69% of attacks) — Motta absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Motta targets the head (86% of attacks) — absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Motta
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.9W6.3L3.3L4.7W6.1L6.1L2022-062022-122023-052024-042024-112025-08
WinLossTrend

Motta · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0103.2L5.0W3.6L6.5W4.8W4.2L2022-022022-092023-062024-012024-112025-06
WinLossTrend

· Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nikolas MottaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

Motta · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Tom NolanRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Trey Ogden
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Maheshate · Nikolas Motta
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