UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Middleweight
VS
57%
Riggs
43%
Stallings
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Riggs
This is a genuine toss-up — Riggs at 57% vs Stallings at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Riggs has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Stallings has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Riggs's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Riggs
Stallings
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+75"
43
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Riggs
Stallings
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.5
10.9
39.3
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
64
Momentum Score
27
Riggs
Stallings
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
68%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
17Ground2
Riggs
Stallings
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riggs
Stallings
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/61 fights
Chin rating based on
3/22 fights
Riggs
Stallings
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
27
L · KO · R1
W · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
Riggs
Stallings
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riggs
Stallings
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
RiggsStallings
Strike Zones
Riggs
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedStallings
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riggs targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stallings absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Stallings targets the head (100% of attacks) — Riggs absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riggs
RND
Stallings
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Riggs · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Stallings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Riggs · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris CamozziRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · R2
Ron StallingsRating 4.2UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
L · Sub · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Diego SanchezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
Stallings · Last 3
L · R2
Joe RiggsRating 4.8UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
W · Dec · R3
Justin JonesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01