★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 8 Lightweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Ultimate Fighter 8 Lightweight Tournament
VS
71%
Escudero
29%
Nover
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EE
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28 – 12
5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
PN
Phillipe Nover
"The Filipino Assassin"
11 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 7

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Escudero

Escudero is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Escudero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.

Escudero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nover has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Escudero
Nover
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escudero
Nover
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
6.8
48.3
Performance Avg
20.7
53
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
0
Escudero
Nover
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
36%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance8
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Escudero
Nover
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Escudero
Nover
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Escudero
Nover
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Escudero
Nover
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Escudero
Nover
Striking2.8 / 0.3Volume5.6 / 8.3Grappling3.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.1 / 1.7Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Escudero
Strike Zones
Nover
Escudero
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Nover
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Nover absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nover targets the head (80% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Escudero
RND
Nover
0/0R00/0

Escudero · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.4L5.5L5.5L5.6L4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L2008-122010-052012-042015-062016-04
WinLossTrend

Nover · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L1.5L5.5L4.5W6.0L5.5L5.6L2008-122010-022015-122017-02
WinLossTrend

Escudero · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09

Nover · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Renan BaraoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Zubaira TukhugovRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Yui Chul NamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Rob EmersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02

News & Media

Efrain Escudero · Phillipe Nover
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