METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 8 Lightweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Ultimate Fighter 8 Lightweight Tournament
VS
71%
Escudero
29%
Nover
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
EE
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
2812
5'9"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
PN
Phillipe Nover
"The Filipino Assassin"
118
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 7
★ Official Result
Efrain EscuderowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Phillipe Nover · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Escudero
Actual result
Escudero wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Escudero is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Escudero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.

Risk flags

Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nover has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
EscuderoNover
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Escudero
Nover
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escudero
Nover
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
6.8
48.3
Performance Avg
20.7
53
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
0
Escudero
Nover
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
4.0
Style: Pressure
0.4
5.6
Style: Volume
8.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
0
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance8
0Clinch0
2Ground2
Escudero
Nover
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Escudero
Nover
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
68
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Escudero
Nover
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Escudero
Nover
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Escudero
Nover
Striking2.8 / 0.3Volume5.6 / 8.3Grappling3.0 / 2.4Wrestling2.1 / 1.7Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure4.0 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Escudero
Strike Zones
Nover
Escudero
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Nover
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Nover absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nover targets the head (80% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Escudero
RND
Nover
0/0R00/0

Escudero · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin Lee
Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew Dober
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de Lima
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo Santos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09

Nover · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ricky Glenn
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Renan Barao
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Zubaira Tukhugov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Yui Chul Nam
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Rob Emerson
Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02

News & Media

Efrain Escudero · Phillipe Nover
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