UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
Las Vegas, USA
10 Sept 2022
Welterweight
VS
15%
Weeks
85%
Lainesse
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DW
Darian Weeks
5 – 3
5'11"72" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 4
Yohan
Yohan Lainesse
"White Lion"
9 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lainesse

Lainesse is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lainesse has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Weeks has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lainesse has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Weeks
Lainesse
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
32+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Weeks
Lainesse
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
4.1
23.5
0.0
Performance Avg
25.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
28
Weeks
Lainesse
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
3
Body
1
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance4
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Weeks
Lainesse
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weeks
Lainesse
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Weeks
Lainesse
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
28
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Weeks
Lainesse
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Weeks
Lainesse
Striking0.0 / 0.5Volume0.0 / 8.5Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Weeks
Strike Zones
Lainesse
Weeks
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY5LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Lainesse
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY5LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Weeks targets the legs (42% of attacks) — Lainesse absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Lainesse targets the head (60% of attacks) — Weeks absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Weeks
RND
Lainesse
0/0R00/0

Weeks · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.1
0105.9L7.0L5.5L2021-122022-042022-09
WinLossTrend

Lainesse · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0103.6L4.5W3.3L3.2L2022-042022-092023-022024-01
WinLossTrend

Weeks · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Yohan LainesseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

Lainesse · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Sam PattersonRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Sub · R1
Mike MalottRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Darian WeeksRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · KO · R2
Gabe GreenRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Darian Weeks · Yohan Lainesse
← Back to fights