UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Featherweight
VS
41%
Choi
59%
Zalal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Zalal
This is a genuine toss-up — Choi at 41% vs Zalal at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Choi throws more volume but Zalal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Choi's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Choi
Zalal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
33
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Choi
Zalal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.5
55.2
34.8
Performance Avg
49.7
34
Quality of Victory
38
69
Momentum Score
66
Choi
Zalal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
3
3
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch1
2Ground0
Choi
Zalal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Choi
Zalal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
92
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Choi
Zalal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
66
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Choi
Zalal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Choi
Zalal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
ChoiZalal
Strike Zones
Choi
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedZalal
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Choi targets the head (44% of attacks) — Zalal absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Zalal targets the head (60% of attacks) — Choi absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Choi
RND
Zalal
0/0R00/0
Choi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Zalal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Choi · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kevin VallejosRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Steve GarciaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarno ErrensRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Michael TrizanoRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 5.8Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
Zalal · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettRating 5.1Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

