METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Bantamweight
VS
85%
Basharat
15%
Vazquez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Javid BasharatwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gianni Vazquez · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Basharat
→
Actual result
Basharat wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Basharat is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Basharat has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Basharat has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BasharatVazquez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Basharat
Vazquez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+71"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Basharat
Vazquez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
7.8
41.7
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Basharat
Vazquez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
0.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
9%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
2
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Basharat
Vazquez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
1.0
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Basharat
Vazquez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/18 fights
Basharat
Vazquez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Basharat
Vazquez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Basharat
Vazquez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BasharatVazquez
Strike Zones
Basharat
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedVazquez
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Basharat targets the head (67% of attacks) — Vazquez absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Vazquez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Basharat
RND
Vazquez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Basharat · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Gianni VazquezRating 4.5Decision
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L · KO · R1
Ricky SimonRating 2.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
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W · Dec · R3
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Vazquez · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02