UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2022
Featherweight
VS
41%
Hooper
59%
Garcia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:32
Chase
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
16 – 5
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw26 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Steve
Steve Garcia
"Mean Machine"
19 – 5
Knockout Artist7-fight win streak34 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 73

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garcia

This is a genuine toss-up — Hooper at 41% vs Garcia at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Garcia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hooper
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
26+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hooper
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
72.5
51.8
Performance Avg
65.0
45
Quality of Victory
55
51
Momentum Score
95
Hooper
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
19
2
Body
7
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Hooper
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooper
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Hooper
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
95
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Hooper
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
88%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hooper
Garcia
Striking3.7 / 10.0Volume3.2 / 2.6Grappling4.6 / 0.3Wrestling3.2 / 0.2Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.1 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
Hooper
Strike Zones
Garcia
Hooper
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD7BODY3LEGS29 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
19HEAD7BODY3LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the head (70% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (66% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 66% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hooper
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R30/0

Hooper · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.7L5.5W5.5L5.5W3.4L4.5W6.5W5.8W5.5W4.9W2.4L2.9L2019-122022-052024-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.2W1.8L5.8W5.5W6.5W5.2W5.1W5.0W5.8W2020-022022-102024-072025-11
WinLossTrend

Hooper · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Garcia · Last 5

Upcoming
Diego Lopes
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
David OnamaRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

News & Media

Chase Hooper · Steve Garcia
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